šŸš€Is The US Economy "Reaccelerating"?

Good morning. US stock futures ticked higher in Wednesday morning trading as investors awaited the latest earnings reports from major players in the artificial intelligence space.

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Top News

White House calls out China on data transparency

WHAT: The US has some strong words for China when it comes to its economic data transparency. According to White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan, Chinaā€™s reporting on basic economic data in recent months, and its crack down on firms that provide such data is ā€œirresponsibleā€.

WHY: China has been struggling to counter a host of economic challenges since the start of the year including a property sector slowdown and rising youth unemployment.

Fed exec: US ā€œreaccelerationā€ a likely scenario

WHAT: Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin is serving up a twist to the usual forecast by suggesting that the US economy might surprise everyone with some turbocharged moves instead of slowing down. ā€œA reacceleration scenario has come onto the table in a way that it really wasnā€™t three or four months agoā€ Barkin said in an interview.

WHY: US inflation has declined in recent months ā€” though it remains well above the Fedā€™s 2% target ā€” largely in part as a result of the aggressive interest rate hikes by the Fed.

UPS, union ratify labor contract

WHAT: Thing are looking up for UPS drivers! The International Brotherhood of Teamsters, the union representing UPS workers, announced that a massive five-year labor deal that includes big wage increases and other improvements to work rules has been ratified between UPS and the union. UPS drivers will average $170,000 in pay and benefits at the end of the deal, company CEO Carol Tome said.

WHY: The union is the latest labor organization to push a major US company for better pay, schedules and other work rules in the aftermath of the pandemic and decades-high inflation.

In Other News

Meta ramps up speech translation with AI

 WHAT: Meta Platforms just dropped an AI language translation magician on the digital stage! The company announced the release of ā€œSeamlessM4Tā€, an artificial intelligence model capable of translating and transcribing speech in dozens of languages.

WHY: The worldā€™s biggest social media company has released a flurry of mostly free AI models this year, including a large language model called Llama thatā€™s a competitor to OpenAI and Google.

Starting price? $80Kā€¦

WHAT: The latest New York Federal Reserve employment survey just dropped a juicy nugget on worker compensation! According to the survey, the average ā€œreservation wageā€ ā€” or the minimum acceptable salary offer a worker will accept ā€” rose to a record high of $78,645 in the second quarter of 2023. This represents an increase of roughly 8% from 2022 levels.

WHY: Buoyed by tight labor markets and increased union negotiating power, US workers have grown more aggressive in their compensation demands in the post-pandemic era.

Report: Cryptoassets a risky proposition in developing countries

WHAT: Cryptoassets, touted as the future in the world of finance, might not be all theyā€™re cracked up to be according to a report from the Bank of International Settlements (BIS). In a recently released paper the BIS said crypto assets ā€œhave so far not reduced but rather amplified the financial risks in less developed economiesā€

WHY: About two dozen central banks across emerging and advanced economies are expected to have digital currencies in circulation by the end of the decade according to a BIS survey published in July.

Key Economic Events

  • Wednesday - No Major Economic News

  • Thursday - Initial Jobless Claims (wk end 19-Aug)

  • Friday - U. Of. Mich. Sentiment

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